Document Type : Original Article
Authors
1
Assistant Professor, Faculty of Economics, Ahwaz Shahid Chamran University
2
Associate Professor, Faculty of Economics, Ahwaz Shahid Chamran University
Abstract
The realization of sustainable growth in today's highly volatile and unstable world requires the recognition and application of new tools. Identifying the risks in the economic, social, geographic, political, technological and environmental fields is suggested by research centers and experts as a prerequisite for any country for achieving sustainable growth. The method of determining these hazards varies according to regions and communities. For example, floods and earthquakes, severe climate changes, the presence of microorganisms and pollution of metropolises, lifestyle changes and the existence of intelligent sanctions in countries can be considered as a threat. Investigating the experiences of different countries shows that some of them are resilient to external risks and shocks and have the ability to withstand and overcome these shocks at low costs, while others may be less resilience. The main objective of this research is to design and provide a system for assessing resilience of Iran in terms of economic and social indicators and estimating the resilience of the most important economic and social sectors during the period of 1370-1395 (Hijri-Shamsi). In this regard, using the MIMIC method and the maximum Likelihood estimator (ML) and using macro, micro, developmental, social, monetary and banking indicators, Iran’s resilience condition investigated. Results show that the state of social and economic indicators of resilience is heterogeneous and dangerous, which in many sectors, the situation was identified as "unstable and irresistible". Based on these results, financial intermediaries, construction sector, unemployment rate, imports, average income and expenditures of urban and rural households, suicide commitment and robbery are in bad situation.
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